Title

Customers and Markets: Both Are Essential to Credit Risk Measurement in Australian Banks

Document Type

Journal Article

Faculty

Faculty of Business and Law

School

School of Accounting, Finance and Economics / Finance, Economics, Markets and Accounting Research Centre

RAS ID

12924

Comments

This article was originally published as: Allen, D. E., & Powell, R. (2011). Customers and Markets: Both Are Essential to Credit Risk Measurement in Australian Banks. Australasian Accounting Business and Finance Journal, 5(1), 57-75. Original article available here

Abstract

This paper compares credit models that incorporate a market component to those that are solely customer based. We found that customer-only models understated credit risk during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and do not adequately differentiate between industries. Models that focus too heavily on the market can overstate credit risk in times of high volatility. We recommend a two-factor modelling approach that incorporates both customer and market risk to improve the accuracy of credit-risk measurement as well as assist lenders with early risk detection.

Access Rights

Open Access