Document Type
Conference Proceeding
Publisher
IEEE Digital Library
Faculty
Faculty of Computing, Health and Science
School
School of Engineering / Centre for Communications Engineering Research
RAS ID
12937
Abstract
In this paper, a Tuning Fuzzy System (TFS) is used to improve the energy demand forecasting for a medium-size microgrid. As a case study, the energy demand of the Joondalup Campus of Edith Cowan University (ECU) in Western Australia is modelled. The developed model is required to perform economic dispatch for the ECU microgrid in islanding mode. To achieve an active economic dispatch demand prediction model, actual load readings are considered. A fuzzy tuning mechanism is added to the prediction model to enhance the prediction accuracy based on actual load changes. The demand prediction is modelled by a Fuzzy Subtractive Clustering Method (FSCM) based Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Three years of historical load data which includes timing information is used to develop and verify the prediction model. The TFS is developed from the knowledge of the error between the actual and predicted demand values to tune the prediction output. The results show that the TFS can successfully tune the prediction values and reduce the error in the subsequent prediction iterations. Simulation results show that the proposed prediction model can be used for performing economic dispatch in the microgrid.
DOI
10.1109/ISGT-Asia.2011.6167099
Access Rights
free_to_read
Comments
This is an Author's Accepted Manuscript of: Mahmoud, T., Habibi, D. , Bass, O. , & Lachowicz, S. W. (2011). Tuning fuzzy systems to achieve economic dispatch for microgrids. Paper presented at the 2011 IEEE Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Asia. Perth, Australia. Available here
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