Should Chinese Renminbi Be Blamed for Its Trade Surplus: A structural VAR Approach

Document Type

Journal Article

Faculty

Faculty of Business and Law

School

School of Accounting, Finance and Economics / Finance, Economics, Markets and Accounting Research Centre

RAS ID

14365

Comments

Zhang, Z. , & Sato, K. (2012). Should Chinese Renminbi Be Blamed for Its Trade Surplus: A structural VAR Approach. The World Economy, 35(5), 632-650.

Abstract

During the recent years, the Renminbi (RMB) exchange rate issue has been at the centre of ongoing debate over the source of global current account imbalance, especially with the United States. The objective of this study is to contribute to the current discussion by providing some new evidence on China’s exchange rate policy and the impacts of RMB devaluation/revaluation on China’s trade balance using a structural vector autoregression (VAR) approach. The results indicate that the dynamic effect of exchange rate on China’s trade balance is still very limited and China’s balance of trade is mainly determined by the world demand and its trade performance, with the latter being a result of its successfully maintained comparative advantage.

DOI

10.1111/j.1467-9701.2012.01438.x

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