Document Type
Journal Article
Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Faculty
Faculty of Health, Engineering and Science
School
School of Engineering
RAS ID
18310
Funders
Edith Cowan University (ECU) Research Infrastructure Block Grant and ECU International Postgraduate Research Scholarship (ECU-IPRS)
Abstract
This paper investigates factors which can affect the accuracy of short-term wind speed prediction when done over long periods spanning different seasons. Two types of neural networks (NNs) are used to forecast power generated via specific horizontal axis wind turbines. Meteorological data used are for a specific Western Australian location. Results reveal that seasonal variations affect the prediction accuracy of the wind resource, but the magnitude of this influence strongly depends on the details of the NN deployed. Factors investigated include the span of the time series needed to initially train the networks, the temporal resolution of these data, the length of training pattern within the overall span which is used to implement the predictions and whether the inclusion of solar irradiance data can appreciably affect wind speed prediction accuracy. There appears to be a relatively complex relationship between these factors and the accuracy of wind speed prediction via NNs. Predicting wind speed based on NNs trained using wind speed and solar irradiance data also increases the prediction accuracy of wind power generated, as can the type of network selected.
DOI
10.1080/14786451.2013.873437
Included in
Electrical and Electronics Commons, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology Commons
Comments
This is an Author's Accepted Manuscript of:
Brka A., Al-Abdeli Y.M., Kothapalli G. (2016). Influence of neural network training parameters on short-term wind forecasting. International Journal of Sustainable Energy, 35(2), 115-131.
https://doi.org/10.1080/14786451.2013.873437