Date of Award

1995

Degree Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Applied Science

Faculty

Faculty of Science, Technology and Engineering

First Advisor

Norm Hall

Second Advisor

Dr David McDougall

Abstract

The predictive power for short-term forecasting of selected biomass dynamic models was examined using the standardised catch and effort data from the 1944/45 to 1990/91 season of the western rock lobster. Risk analysis of the fishery based on the predicted fishing efforts with the Deriso-Schnute delay-difference model indicates a high probability of recruitment failure. Some hypothetical management strategies of reducing fishing effort were evaluated by taking into consideration the total catch and biological risk to the fishery.

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