Title

Shocking Aspects of East Asian Monetary Integration: an Optimum Currency Area Approach

Document Type

Conference Proceeding

Faculty

Faculty of Business and Law

School

School of Accounting, Finance and Economics

RAS ID

8153

Comments

Sato, K., Zhang, Z., & McAleer, M. (2003). Shocking aspects of East Asian monetary integration: An optimum currency area approach. In 2003 MODSIM International Congress on Modelling and Simulation.

Abstract

This paper examines the viability of regional monetary integration in East Asia by focusing on the symmetry of shocks, one of the preconditions for forming an optimum currency area (OCA). We extend the conventional 2-variable structural VAR model by incorporating foreign (specifically, US) variables, as well as real effective exchange rates to capture country-specific shocks in our estimation. We also provide similar estimates for European countries to test for robustness. Impulse response function analysis is conducted to measure the size of shocks and the speed of adjustment to shocks. The empirical results reveal that it is less feasible for the East Asian economies to form an OCA than suggested in previous studies, whereas only small sub-groups are potential candidates for a currency arrangement.

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