Document Type

Journal Article

Publication Title

BMC Infectious Diseases

ISSN

1471-2334

Volume

19

Issue

1

First Page

379

Last Page

379

PubMed ID

31053104

Publisher

BioMed Central

School

School of Medical and Health Sciences

Funders

Funding information available at: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-019-4008-1

Comments

Originally published as: Zhang, Y., Liu, M., Wu, S. S., Jiang, H., Zhang, J., Wang, S., ... Guo, X. (2019). Spatial distribution of tuberculosis and its association with meteorological factors in mainland China. BMC Infectious Diseases, 19, Article 379. Original publication available here

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The incidence of tuberculosis (TB) remains high worldwide. Current strategies will not eradicate TB by 2035; instead, by 2182 is more likely. Therefore, it is urgent that new risk factors be identified.

METHODS: An ecological study was conducted in 340 prefectures in China from 2005 to 2015. The spatial distribution of TB incidence was shown by clustering and hotspot analysis. The relationship between the distribution patterns and six meteorological factors was evaluated by the geographically weighted regression (GWR) model.

RESULTS: During the 11 years of the study period, TB incidence was persistently low in the east and high in the west. Local coefficients from the GWR model showed a positive correlation between TB incidence and yearly average rainfall (AR) but a negative correlation with other meteorological factors. Average relative humidity (ARH) was negatively correlated with the incidence of TB in all prefectures (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION: Meteorological factors may play an important role in the prevention and control of TB.

DOI

10.1186/s12879-019-4008-1

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

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