Document Type
Journal Article
Publication Title
BMC Infectious Diseases
ISSN
1471-2334
Volume
19
Issue
1
First Page
379
Last Page
379
PubMed ID
31053104
Publisher
BioMed Central
School
School of Medical and Health Sciences
RAS ID
29957
Funders
Funding information available at: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-019-4008-1
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The incidence of tuberculosis (TB) remains high worldwide. Current strategies will not eradicate TB by 2035; instead, by 2182 is more likely. Therefore, it is urgent that new risk factors be identified.
METHODS: An ecological study was conducted in 340 prefectures in China from 2005 to 2015. The spatial distribution of TB incidence was shown by clustering and hotspot analysis. The relationship between the distribution patterns and six meteorological factors was evaluated by the geographically weighted regression (GWR) model.
RESULTS: During the 11 years of the study period, TB incidence was persistently low in the east and high in the west. Local coefficients from the GWR model showed a positive correlation between TB incidence and yearly average rainfall (AR) but a negative correlation with other meteorological factors. Average relative humidity (ARH) was negatively correlated with the incidence of TB in all prefectures (p < 0.05).
CONCLUSION: Meteorological factors may play an important role in the prevention and control of TB.
DOI
10.1186/s12879-019-4008-1
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Comments
Zhang, Y., Liu, M., Wu, S. S., Jiang, H., Zhang, J., Wang, S., ... Guo, X. (2019). Spatial distribution of tuberculosis and its association with meteorological factors in mainland China. BMC Infectious Diseases, 19, Article 379. Available here