Global imprint of climate change on marine life
Authors
Elvira Poloczanska
Christopher J. Brown
William Sydeman
Wolfgang Kiessling
David Schoeman
Philippa J. Moore, Edith Cowan UniversityFollow
Keith Brander
John Bruno
Lauren Buckley
Michael Burrows
Carlos Duarte
Benjamin Halpern
Johnna Holding
Carrie Kappel
Mary O'Connor
John Pandolfi
Camille Parmesan
Franklin Schwing
Sarah Thompson
Anthony Richardson
Document Type
Journal Article
Publisher
Macmillan
Faculty
Faculty of Health, Engineering and Science
School
School of Natural Sciences / Centre for Marine Ecosystems Research
RAS ID
17523
Abstract
Past meta-analyses of the response of marine organisms to climate change have examined a limited range of locations, taxonomic groups and/or biological responses. This has precluded a robust overview of the effect of climate change in the global ocean. Here, we synthesized all available studies of the consistency of marine ecological observations with expectations under climate change. This yielded a meta-database of 1,735 marine biological responses for which either regional or global climate change was considered as a driver. Included were instances of marine taxa responding as expected, in a manner inconsistent with expectations, and taxa demonstrating no response. From this database, 81-83% of all observations for distribution, phenology, community composition, abundance, demography and calcification across taxa and ocean basins were consistent with the expected impacts of climate change. Of the species responding to climate change, rates of distribution shifts were, on average, consistent with those required to track ocean surface temperature changes. Conversely, we did not find a relationship between regional shifts in spring phenology and the seasonality of temperature. Rates of observed shifts in species' distributions and phenology are comparable to, or greater, than those for terrestrial systems.
DOI
10.1038/nclimate1958
Comments
Poloczanska, E., Brown, C. J., Sydeman, W., Kiessling, W., Schoeman, D., Moore, P. J., Brander, K., Bruno, J., Buckley, L., Burrows, M., Duarte, C., Halpern, B., Holding, J., Kappel, C., O'Connor, M., Pandolfi, J., Parmesan, C., Schwing, F., Thompson, S., & Richardson, A. (2013). Global imprint of climate change on marine life. Nature Climate Change, 3(10), 919-925. Available here