Machine learning for air transport planning and management

Document Type

Conference Proceeding

Publication Title

AIAA AVIATION 2022 Forum

Publisher

American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics

School

School of Science

RAS ID

52099

Comments

Wild, G., Baxter, G., Srisaeng, P., & Richardson, S. (2022). Machine learning for air transport planning and management. In AIAA AVIATION 2022 Forum (p. 3706). https://doi.org/10.2514/6.2022-3706

Abstract

In this work we compare the performance of several machine learning algorithms applied to the problem of modelling air transport demand. Forecasting in the air transport industry is an essential part of planning and managing because of the economic and financial aspects of the industry. The traditional approach used in airline operations as specified by the International Civil Aviation Organization is the use of a multiple linear regression (MLR) model, utilizing cost variables and economic factors. Here, the performance of models utilizing an artificial neural network (ANN), an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), a genetic algorithm, a support vector machine, and a regression tree are compared to MLR. The ANN and ANFIS had the best performance in terms of the lowest mean squared error.

DOI

10.2514/6.2022-3706

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