Title

Global uncertainty and economic growth–evidence from pandemic periods

Document Type

Journal Article

Publication Title

Emerging Markets Finance and Trade

Publisher

Taylor & Francis

School

School of Business and Law

RAS ID

58128

Comments

Bannigidadmath, D., Ridhwan, M. H. A., & Indawan, F. (2023). Global uncertainty and economic growth–evidence from pandemic periods. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2023.2213377

Abstract

This paper investigates whether global uncertainty predicts economic growth rates using a global sample of 136 countries. We use the panel regression model and find strong evidence that global uncertainty negatively predicts the economic growth rate. Further, the negative impact of global uncertainty on economic growth rates is amplified during pandemic periods versus non-pandemic periods. Our main findings hold after a range of robustness tests.

DOI

10.1080/1540496X.2023.2213377

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