Document Type
Journal Article
Publication Title
Energies
Volume
17
Issue
9
Publisher
MDPI
School
School of Engineering
RAS ID
70400
Funders
Korea Institute of Energy Technology Evaluation and Planning
Grant Number
20214000000180, 20224000000220
Abstract
The Weibull algorithm is one of the most accurate tools for forecasting and estimating wind energy potential. Two main parameters of the Weibull algorithm are the ‘Weibull shape’ and ‘Weibull scale’ factors. There are six different numerical methods to estimate the two Weibull parameters. These six methods are the empirical method of Justus (method 1), the empirical method of Lysen (method 2), the maximum likelihood method (method 3), the modified maximum likelihood method (method 4), the energy pattern factor method (method 5) and the graphical method (method 6). Many commercial wind energy software programs use the Weibull algorithm, and these six methods are used to calculate the potential wind energy at a given site. However, their accuracy is rarely discussed, particularly regarding wind data height. For this purpose, wind data measured for a long period (six years) at real sites are introduced. The wind data sites are categorized into three levels, i.e., low, medium, and high, based on wind data measurement height. The analysis shows that methods 1 and 2 are the most accurate methods among all six methods at low and medium heights. The number of errors increases with the height of these two methods. Methods 3 and 4 are the most suitable options for larger heights, as these scenarios have minimal error. The present study’s findings can be used in various fields, e.g., wind energy forecasting and wind farm planning.
DOI
10.3390/en17092173
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Comments
Ali, S., Park, H., Noon, A. A., Sharif, A., & Lee, D. (2024). Accuracy testing of different methods for estimating weibull parameters of wind energy at various heights above sea level. Energies, 17(9), 2173. https://doi.org/10.3390/en17092173