Not everybody has the ability to see talent, but I can. A longitudinal case-study of a coach’s process of identifying and selecting talent

Author Identifier (ORCID)

Annette Raynor: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6517-3872

Abstract

Athlete selection is a necessary component of many sport systems around the world. To inform selection decisions, coaches and recruiters utilize various sources of information to better understand athletes and their strengths, weakness, likelihood of success, and degree of ‘fit’ with the program/system. However, little is known about how the coach experiences identification and selection, the information incorporated in decision-making, or how opinions and perspectives change over time. As such, the present case study documents the in-situ decision-making process of a coach during a real talent identification and team selection period. Over the course of 18 months, regular semi-structured and field interviews were conducted with an elite coach tasked with selecting athletes. Results from the inductive thematic analysis indicate the coach’s perspective shifted (sometimes dramatically) regarding the athlete’s future likelihood of success, sometimes even over relatively short time frames. Further, a six-year follow-up of athlete performance demonstrated that the accuracy of the coach’s predictions about which athletes would and would not succeed, were mixed. This paper advances our knowledge of the coaches’ eye, demonstrating the value of having a multidimensional and holistic approach to athlete assessment, and supports the growing call to delay selections for as long as possible.

Document Type

Journal Article

Date of Publication

1-1-2025

Publication Title

Journal of Sports Sciences

Publisher

Taylor & Francis

School

School of Medical and Health Sciences

Funders

Edith Cowan University / Australian Institute of Sport

Comments

Roberts, A., Johnston, K., & Raynor, A. (2025). "Not everybody has the ability to see talent, but I can". A longitudinal case-study of a coach’s process of identifying and selecting talent. Journal of Sports Science. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640414.2025.2570032

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Link to publisher version (DOI)

10.1080/02640414.2025.2570032