Author Identifier (ORCID)
Joseph M. Barnby: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6002-1362
Abstract
Social agents with finitely nested opponent models are vulnerable to manipulation by agents with deeper recursive capabilities. This imbalance, rooted in logic and the theory of recursive modelling frameworks, cannot be solved directly. We propose a computational framework called ℵ-IPOMDP, which augments the Bayesian inference of model-based RL agents with an anomaly detection algorithm and an out-of-belief policy. Our mechanism allows agents to realize that they are being deceived, even if they cannot understand how, and to deter opponents via a credible threat. We test this framework in both a mixed-motive and a zero-sum game. Our results demonstrate the ℵ-mechanism’s effectiveness, leading to more equitable outcomes and less exploitation by more sophisticated agents. We discuss implications for AI safety, cybersecurity, cognitive science, and psychiatry.
Keywords
Belief revision and update, multiagent systems, reasoning about actions and change, reinforcement learning
Document Type
Journal Article
Date of Publication
1-1-2026
Volume
85
Publication Title
Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research
Publisher
AI Access Foundation
School
Centre for Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (CAIML)
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Comments
Alon, N., Barnby, J. M., Sarkadi, S., Schulz, L., Rosenschein, J. S., & Dayan, P. (2026). ℵ-IPOMDP: Mitigating deception in a cognitive hierarchy with off-policy counterfactual anomaly detection. Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research, 85. https://doi.org/10.1613/jair.1.19204