Author Identifier (ORCID)

Maxim Lebedev: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1369-5844

Abstract

Permeability characterizes the capacity of porous formations to conduct fluids, thereby governing the performance of carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS), hydrocarbon extraction, and subsurface energy storage. A reliable assessment of rock permeability is therefore essential for these applications. Direct estimation of permeability from low-resolution CT images of large rock samples offers a rapid approach to obtain permeability data. However, the limited resolution fails to capture detailed pore-scale structural features, resulting in low prediction accuracy. To address this limitation, we propose a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based upscaling method that integrates high-precision pore-scale permeability information into core-scale, low-resolution CT images. In our workflow, the large core sample is partitioned into sub-core volumes, whose permeabilities are predicted using CNNs. The upscaled permeability at the core scale is then determined through a Darcy flow solver based on the predicted sub-core permeability map. Additionally, we examine the optimal sub-core volume size that balances computational efficiency and prediction accuracy. This framework effectively incorporates small-scale heterogeneity, enabling accurate permeability upscaling from micrometer-scale pores to centimeter-scale cores.

Keywords

Digital rock physics, machine learning, permeability upscaling

Document Type

Journal Article

Date of Publication

3-1-2026

Volume

2

Issue

1

Publication Title

Earth Energy Science

Publisher

Elsevier

School

School of Engineering

Funders

Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JP22K03927, JP24H00440, JP21H05202, JPMJSP2111)

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License.

Comments

Guo, Y., Jiang, F., Tsuji, T., Kato, Y., Shimokawara, M., Esteban, L., Seyyedi, M., Pervukhina, M., Lebedev, M., & Kitamura, R. (2026). Machine learning-based upscaling of rock permeability from pore scale to core scale: Effect of training dataset size and sub-core volumes. Earth Energy Science, 2(1), 100041. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ees.2025.11.008

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Link to publisher version (DOI)

10.1016/j.ees.2025.11.008