Authors
Michael L. Hunter
Matthew W. Knuiman
Bill A. W. Musk
Jennie Hui
Kevin Murray
John P. Beilby
David R. Hillman
Joseph Hung
Robert U. Newton, Edith Cowan UniversityFollow
Romola S. Bucks
Leon Straker
John P. Walsh
Kun Zhu
David G. Bruce
Robert H. Eikelboom
Timothy M. E. Davis
David A. Mackey
Alan L. James
Document Type
Journal Article
Publication Title
BMC Public Health
Volume
21
Issue
1
Publisher
Springer
School
School of Medical and Health Sciences / Exercise Medicine Research Institute / Centre for Exercise and Sports Science Research
RAS ID
36914
Funders
Government of Western Australia Department of Health, Australian Government City of Busselton Busselton Population Medical Research Institute
Abstract
Background and objective: Chronic medical conditions accumulate within individuals with age. However, knowledge concerning the trends, patterns and determinants of multimorbidity remains limited. This study assessed the prevalence and patterns of multimorbidity using extensive individual phenotyping in a general population of Australian middle-aged adults. Methods: Participants (n = 5029, 55% female), born between 1946 and 1964 and attending the cross-sectional phase of the Busselton Healthy Ageing Study (BHAS) between 2010 and 2015, were studied. Prevalence of 21 chronic conditions was estimated using clinical measurement, validated instrument scores and/or self-reported doctor-diagnosis. Non-random patterns of multimorbidity were explored using observed/expected (O/E) prevalence ratios and latent class analysis (LCA). Variables associated with numbers of conditions and class of multimorbidity were investigated. Results: The individual prevalence of 21 chronic conditions ranged from 2 to 54% and multimorbidity was common with 73% of the cohort having 2 or more chronic conditions. (mean ± SD 2.75 ± 1.84, median = 2.00, range 0–13). The prevalence of multimorbidity increased with age, obesity, physical inactivity, tobacco smoking and family history of asthma, diabetes, myocardial infarct or cancer. There were 13 pairs and 27 triplets of conditions identified with a prevalence > 1.5% and O/E > 1.5. Of the triplets, arthritis ( > 50%), bowel disease ( > 33%) and depression-anxiety ( > 33%) were observed most commonly. LCA modelling identified 4 statistically and clinically distinct classes of multimorbidity labelled as: 1) “Healthy” (70%) with average of 1.95 conditions; 2) “Respiratory and Atopy” (11%, 3.65 conditions); 3) “Non-cardiometabolic” (14%, 4.77 conditions), and 4) “Cardiometabolic” (5%, 6.32 conditions). Predictors of multimorbidity class membership differed between classes and differed from predictors of number of co-occurring conditions. Conclusion: Multimorbidity is common among middle-aged adults from a general population. Some conditions associated with ageing such as arthritis, bowel disease and depression-anxiety co-occur in clinically distinct patterns and at higher prevalence than expected by chance. These findings may inform further studies into shared biological and environmental causes of co-occurring conditions of ageing. Recognition of distinct patterns of multimorbidity may aid in a holistic approach to care management in individuals presenting with multiple chronic conditions, while also guiding health resource allocation in ageing populations.
DOI
10.1186/s12889-021-11578-y
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Comments
Hunter, M. L., Knuiman, M. W., Musk, B. A. W., Hui, J., Murray, K., Beilby, J. P., ... & James, A. L. (2021). Prevalence and patterns of multimorbidity in Australian baby boomers: The Busselton healthy ageing study. BMC Public Health, 21, article 1539. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-11578-y