The moderation effects of political instability and terrorism on tourism development: A cross-country panel analysis

Document Type

Journal Article

Publisher

Sage Publications

Faculty

Faculty of Business and Law

School

School of Business

RAS ID

17637

Comments

Saha S., Yap G. (2014). The moderation effects of political instability and terrorism on tourism development: A cross-country panel analysis. Journal of Travel Research, 53(4), 509-521. Available here

Abstract

Looking at the current political turmoil across the globe, this study aims to analyze the effects of interaction between political instability and terrorism on tourism development using panel data from 139 countries for the period 1999-2009. The study measures the extent to which a country's political conflicts and terrorism can negatively impact its tourism industry. The results reveal that the effect of political instability on tourism is far more severe than the effects of one-off terrorist attacks. Surprisingly, the findings suggest that terrorist attacks increase tourism demand for those low- to moderate-political-risk countries. However, countries that experience high levels of political risk witness significant reductions in their tourism businesses. In addition, political volatility and terrorism together can cause serious damage to the tourism industry.

DOI

10.1177/0047287513496472

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